How to Analyze Balance Sheets to Pick Stocks?

The balance sheet shows three things: assets (what company owns), liabilities (what it owes), and equity (what’s left for shareholders). The formula: Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders’ Equity. Everything must balance or the accounting’s wrong.​

Most traders skip balance sheets thinking income statements matter more. Wrong. Income statements show profit on paper while balance sheets reveal whether the company actually holds cash.​

What Gets Picked Up First

Current Ratio shows if the company covers short-term obligations. Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities should be above 1:1. If it’s 0.8:1, the business owes more than it has—a major red flag.​

Debt-to-Equity Ratio reveals leverage. Calculate Total Liabilities divided by Shareholders’ Equity. Above 2:1 in most industries signals trouble. Companies carrying excessive debt struggle when interest rates rise.​

Balance Sheet Equation: Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders’ Equity

Check cash flow. HDFC Bank showing ₹50,000 crore cash? Strong position. But if cash dropped ₹10,000 crore year-over-year with rising debt, that screams “burning cash”.​

Red Flags That Kill Stock Picks

Inventory rising while sales stagnate? That’s dead stock piling up. Means customers aren’t buying and cash gets trapped.​

Declining cash reserves quarter after quarter destroys picks. It’s like watching the fuel gauge hitting empty.​

Balance Sheet Red Flags: Declining Cash, Rising Debt, Negative Equity

Negative working capital means short-term obligations exceed current assets. Current liabilities more than current assets? The business can’t breathe.​

Rising liabilities without explanation signals desperation. Companies probably borrow to stay afloat instead of earning cash from operations.​

Stock Picking Strategy

Compare balance sheets across 3 years—not snapshots. A strong balance sheet today means nothing if equity is declining every year. Asset-to-Liability ratio above 1 signals strength; below 1 screams vulnerability.​

Find companies with high cash, low debt, stable equity growth. These rarely collapse. Tata Consultancy Services maintains ₹30,000+ crore cash with debt under ₹5,000 crore—fortress balance sheet.​

Avoid value traps—stocks appearing cheap because balance sheets deteriorate. Just because a stock dropped 50% doesn’t mean it’s undervalued—check if the company’s bleeding cash, stacking debt, or equity turning negative.​

Compare ratios to industry peers. Telecom companies typically carry higher debt than software firms—that’s normal. But if one telecom company’s debt doubles while competitors stay stable, investigate why.​

Use balance sheet + income statement + cash flow statement together. One statement alone produces blind spots. Strong profit on income statement but declining cash + rising debt = trap waiting to snap.​

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